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Interest rates and digitalisation credited for market boom

20 Jan 2021

 
  • SEC, CSE, CSBA stand by recent record-breaking performance

  • Lowered interest rate made stock market best alternative

  • Performance to sustain till lowered interest rates last

      [caption id="attachment_114874" align="alignright" width="367"] CSE Chairman Dumith Fernando[/caption] In response to speculation around the recent record-breaking performances of the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE), the CSE, the Colombo Stock Brokers Association (CSBA), and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) said that the recent performance has been driven by lowered interest rates and digitalisation of the CSE platform. Speaking to The Morning Business, CSE Chairman Dumith Fernando stated that lowered interest rates have made the stock market a preferable alternative investment option for potential investors, and as a result, many people are moving towards the stock market. “This movement was also made easy by the recent digitalisation at CSE. Also, there is now confidence in our economy as it is bouncing back from the pandemic,” Fernando added. Meanwhile, SEC Chairman Viraj Dayaratne PC also noted that the recent performance at CSE has been mainly backed by lowered interest rates coupled with the digitalised platform. “More and more people are seeing the stock market as a place to invest, and also because of the awareness and the content that is appearing on social media. Also, trading accounts can be created online now, so people can start trading quickly unlike before. There is also a global factor – global markets are doing well. I would attribute the performance to a combination of these reasons,” Dayaratne added. [caption id="attachment_114876" align="alignright" width="374"] SEC Chairman Viraj Dayaratne PC[/caption] CSBA President Kosala Gamage also attributed CSE’s recent achievements to lowered interest rates and the digitalisation of the CSE. “The stock exchange has been completely digitalised; this has encouraged a large section of youngsters. Maybe they are not pumping large sums of money, but that has created interest,” Gamage told us. Gamage further noted that as long as interest rates remain low, we can expect this record-breaking trend at the CSE to continue. The comments from the chairs of CSE, SEC, and CSBA come following several doubts cast by the Opposition over CSE's recent achievements. The CSE was recognised by Bloomberg last week as the second best-performing equity market in the world, and the All Share Price Index (ASPI) reached an all-time high to close at 7,992.66 points on Monday (18), surpassing its previous record of 7,811.80 on 14 February 2011. Samagi Jana Balawegaya (SJB) MP Eran Wickramaratne cast doubt on Monday over CSE’s recent performance, warning local investors to be careful of possible pumping-and-dumping in the stock market.  He added that with the replacement of foreign investors with local investment, there seems to be a pattern similar to what was seen in 2011 and up to 2014, when there was corruption in the stock market.  “People in high offices were involved in the racket, according to the forensic audit report. They had an opportunity to go before auditors and make their case, but they did not make their case due to reasons best known to them,” he stated.  [caption id="attachment_114875" align="alignright" width="368"] CSBA President Kosala Gamage[/caption] Meanwhile, Frontline Socialist Party (FSP) Education Secretary Pubudu Jagoda, during a press conference last week, also cast doubt over possible money laundering that might be taking place at the CSE.  Jagoda stated that the listing of companies in the CSE has soared dramatically in the recent past, while the Budget 2021 decided to provide a 50% tax concession for the years 2021/2022 for companies that are listed before 31 December 2021, and maintain a corporate tax rate of 14% for the subsequent three years. “This might be an attempt to bring in all the black money of Sri Lankans into the country and pump it into the CSE to whitewash the money. This is possibly an attempt of money laundering,” Jagoda opined.  SJB parliamentarian Dr. Harsha de Silva too made similar statements last week and warned of another case of pumping-and-dumping at the CSE.  “What is this old game? Shares of the companies that do not have a real value are being promoted by local investors while foreign investors are selling their stocks. Young investors with lack of experience and knowledge compete with each other to buy these promoted stocks. Then the CSE performance skyrockets, but as the time goes, prices of artificially pumped stocks will go down. The people who pumped those stocks might withdraw their profit and be long gone by then. Those young and small investors will take the hit,” Dr. de Silva noted. “In Sri Lanka, anybody can level allegations against anyone. In my opinion, what investors should do is, they can do their own research,” Gamage stated in response to allegations.  Refusing to comment on allegations, Fernando asserted that there is no room for manipulation or misconduct in the market as they have deployed necessary measures to make sure such activities do not take place.  “We have always made sure regulations are in place and awareness has been created among investors. Further, our surveillance at the moment is much stronger than it was 10 years ago,” Fernando added. When asked whether the CSE can maintain its current status, Dayaratne responded by saying that it is the duty of all stakeholders to ensure the CSE can sustain this position. Similar to Fernando, he also noted that they have measures in place to make sure market misconduct is not taking place. Meanwhile, issuing a statement on Sunday (17), the SEC stated that to ensure the integrity of the market and to protect the large number of investors in the face of the surge in the daily number of transactions, the regulatory and supervisory framework of the SEC has been strengthened by enhancing the capability and capacity of its Supervision and Surveillance Divisions.


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