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India: US-Iran talks, crude prices likely to steer markets

India: US-Iran talks, crude prices likely to steer markets

22 Jun 2026


Movement in the stock market will hinge on the outcome of talks between the US and Iran, crude oil prices and trading activity of foreign investors in the holiday-shortened week ahead, analysts said.

Technical-level talks will be held in Bürgenstock, Switzerland, on Sunday between the US and Iran.

US Vice President JD Vance was initially supposed to hold a first round of talks with senior Iranian officials on Friday at a mountainside resort in the tiny Swiss village of Obbürgen, but his Iranian counterparts cancelled their plans to attend because of escalating fighting between Israel and Iranian-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon. Stock markets would remain closed on Friday for Muharram.

"Investor attention in the week ahead is likely to remain firmly focused on developments surrounding the US-Iran peace process. Crude oil prices will remain a key variable, with continued stability supporting India's macroeconomic outlook, while any deterioration in Middle East relations could reignite volatility,"  Enrich Money CEO Ponmudi R said.

"Looking ahead, a wait-and-watch stance is likely to prevail even as the underlying bias turns incrementally positive. India appears to be gradually moving past two major headwinds, tariff-related uncertainty and geopolitical tensions, which should support valuation recovery after an extended period of consolidation...," Geojit Investments Limited Head of Research Vinod Nair said.



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