New global report claims IMF bailout now pushed to Q2

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) board approval for Sri Lanka’s Extended Fund Facility (EFF) is now expected in the second quarter of 2023, Standard Chartered’s Global Research report revealed.

Accordingly, the prediction was made owing to delays in securing financial assurances from its bilateral creditors, the report read, adding that this could further delay negotiations with commercial creditors, which are also expected to be pushed back to the second half of 2023.

“As a result, we expect a restructuring deal to be reached only by the end of 2023. Achieving the IMF’s qualitative and quantitative targets, including the timely restructuring of commercial debt, could pose challenges and potentially disrupt the IMF programme,” the report read.

Moreover, it was stated that Sri Lanka’s economy is likely to contract in 2023, while the external sector has improved due to import contraction.

Meanwhile, solvency and liquidity risks within the financial-sector are also building, along with the looming domestic debt restructuring, it stated.